FNUS72 KJAX 102042
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
342 PM EST THU NOV 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1600 EST ON NOVEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR FILTERING
INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL PLUMMET INTO THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT
THE NORTH WINDS AT 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AT TIMES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST BELOW RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA...ALTHOUGH FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS
MAY BE NEEDED IN SOME MARGINAL CONDITIONS. DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE INLAND AREAS ON SATURDAY BUT LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
RED FLAG CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE LEVELS WILL MODERATE
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS
IN CONTROL AND EXPECT NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      4 PM
SKY (%).........75
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TEMP............66
RH..............67
20 FT WIND......NW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.20
MIX HGT (FT)....2400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18
DISPERSION INDX.42
CHC OF PCPN (%).15
LAL.............1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0-10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........60     38     26     14     8      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     55     50     46     43     40
RH..............50     54     55     58     61     64
20 FT WIND......NW 13  NW 10  NW 10  NW 10  NW 9   NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   600    600    500    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18  NW 17  NW 15  NW 14  N 13   N 13
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION INDX.39     14     11     9      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.VETERANS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...USFWS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111110.HONEY.01/JAX