FNUS73 KPAH 101622 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR VC POLLINATOR FIELD...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1022 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE SOUTHERN PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY. IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY...MUCH COOLER HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH THE FIRST WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZE OF THE SEASON EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE HIGH WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY SATURDAY. A MILDER AND MOIST SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH WILL BRING TEMPERATURES BACK ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALSO...IT WILL BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 50. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5700-7100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 29 TO 33 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............48 49 50 49 48 44 RH..............37 34 31 33 34 39 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 11 9 6 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 20 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...7.1 6.6 5.7 4.5 3.2 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.30 31 32 33 33 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 26 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 1 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 35 32 31 31 30 RH..............48 59 69 75 72 75 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 3 W 3 W 3 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 400 500 800 600 400 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 33 NW 30 NW 26 NW 21 W 12 SW 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 6 5 5 5 4 .VETERANS DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 45 TO 47 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............28 41 55 59 RH..............85 59 40 39 20 FT WIND......S 2G5 S 6G10 S 10G25 S 12G30 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 2800 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 13 SW 31 SW 43 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111110.VCPOL.01/PAH