FNUS76 KMFR 111508
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LD 4A...GFI/USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
708 AM PST FRI NOV 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PST ON NOVEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS IN THE MORNING AND MID
LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT...SOUTHWEST
EYE LEVEL WINDS WILL AFFECT THE NEAR-RIDGE LOCATION OF THE BURN...WITH
SOUTHWEST MIXING WINDS AS WELL. SLOPE DOMINATED WINDS WILL AFFECT THE LOWER
PORTIONS OF THE BURN. A FRONT WILL SHIFT WINDS TO A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...AND PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN AND SNOW IS LIKELY
TO BE LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
A MORE POTENT FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING COULD BRING
UP TO 0.2 INCHES OF RAIN. MIXING WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN
OCCURS ON TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER FRONT WITH AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.2 AND 0.5 INCHES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SOME HIGH CIRRUS THIS MORNING..THEN MID CLOUDS LATE
                    AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVEL 6000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH. LIGHT UPSLOPE
                    EAST WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH AT THE LOWER PORTIONS OF THE BURN.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    1 TO 3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT. LIGHT DOWNSLOPE
                    WEST WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH ON THE LOWER PORTIONS OF THE BURN.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT EARLY...10 PERCENT LATE NIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SNOW LEVEL 4000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT EARLY BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
RAIN. LOWS 35 TO 40. HIGHS 43 TO 48. LIGHT WIND. SNOW LEVEL 5500 FEET.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 37 TO 42. HIGHS
38 TO 43. LIGHT WIND. SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET.
.TUESDAY...
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 37 TO 42. HIGHS 38 TO 43. LIGHT WIND. SNOW LEVEL
6000 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENDRIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111111.LD4A_.01/MFR