FNUS75 KBOU 121857 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER TRAIL...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1156 AM MST SAT NOV 12 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...VERY STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. THE STRONG WEST SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH EXPECTED. WINDS SHOULD PEAK THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A PASSING UPPER DISTURBANCE...HOWEVER REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOW FALLING OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS TO THE WEST COULD BLOW OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...MOST LIKELY MELTING TO RAIN. HOWEVER NO MEASURABLE AMOUNT IS EXPECTED. HUMIDITIES WILL BE INCREASING SLOWLY AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS AROUND MIDNIGHT BUT WITH LITTLE PRECIPITATION OR NOTICEABLE CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 36-49 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 57-76 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 29-44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 56-68 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 33-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 1800-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 0100. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....43. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 17-27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33-44 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. BREEZY. WEST WINDS AROUND 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER TRAIL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/12-11 52 10 2 50 26 W40 68 3 1 W49 4125 W63 225019 E 11/12-12 52 10 2 50 26 W41 68 3 1 W54 4316 W66 245539 E 11/12-13 52 10 2 50 25 W44 70 2 1 W59 4507 W68 266060 E 11/12-14 52 10 2 49 25 W45 71 2 1 W62 4698 W70 286581 E 11/12-15 52 10 2 47 27 W44 78 2 1 W66 4187 W73 260762 E 11/12-16 52 10 2 44 31 W43 79 2 1 W70 3676 W74 234944 E 11/12-17 77 22 4 39 38 W40 78 2 1 W75 3165 W76 209126 E 11/12-18 77 22 4 37 43 W39 75 2 1 W84 3447 W69 205334 E 11/12-19 77 22 4 35 45 W39 75 2 1 W93 3729 W63 201541 E 11/12-20 77 22 4 35 47 NW38 75 2 1 W100 4011 W56 197748 E 11/12-21 77 22 4 35 49 NW37 75 2 1 W99 3781 W56 186027 E 11/12-22 77 22 4 34 51 W37 74 2 1 W96 3552 W56 174306 E 11/12-23 59 5 1 33 53 W36 68 2 1 W91 3323 W56 162585 E 11/13-00 59 5 1 32 54 W36 66 2 1 W87 3249 W53 150343 E 11/13-01 59 5 1 32 52 W36 67 2 1 W84 3175 W49 138100 V 11/13-02 59 5 1 32 49 W35 67 2 1 W82 3102 W47 125858 V 11/13-03 59 5 1 29 52 W35 59 2 1 W81 2657 W39 96528 G 11/13-04 59 5 1 29 50 W32 56 2 1 W82 2212 W32 67199 G 11/13-05 52 9 2 28 49 SW30 51 2 1 W82 1768 W24 37869 P 11/13-06 52 9 2 30 47 W24 38 2 1 W81 2246 W29 59576 F 11/13-07 52 9 2 28 50 W17 28 2 1 W78 2725 W33 81282 G 11/13-08 52 9 2 31 47 W13 21 2 1 W77 3204 W37 102989 V 11/13-09 52 9 2 36 40 W13 21 2 1 W64 5123 W43 189564 E 11/13-10 52 9 2 39 36 W16 25 2 1 W59 5604 W45 220682 E 11/13-11 54 9 2 41 35 W20 31 2 1 W54 6085 W47 251800 E 11/13-12 54 9 2 43 34 W22 36 2 1 W51 5848 W47 241167 E 11/13-13 54 9 2 42 34 W24 39 2 1 W48 5611 W47 230533 E 11/13-14 54 9 2 42 36 W25 40 2 1 W47 5374 W47 219899 E 11/13-15 54 9 2 41 37 W25 39 2 1 W48 5008 W47 203764 E 11/13-16 54 9 2 38 41 W24 38 2 1 W51 4643 W46 187629 E 11/13-17 39 7 1 34 47 W23 37 2 1 W52 4277 W46 171493 E 11/13-18 39 7 1 32 51 W24 38 2 1 W49 3933 W46 157448 E 11/13-19 39 7 1 31 51 W25 41 2 1 W46 3590 W46 143403 V 11/13-20 39 7 1 30 50 W28 44 2 1 W43 3246 W46 129358 V 11/13-21 39 7 1 30 46 W31 47 3 1 NW41 3079 W46 122434 V 11/13-22 39 7 1 30 48 W35 53 3 1 NW40 2912 W46 115511 V 11/13-23 36 7 1 29 49 W37 55 4 1 NW38 2746 W46 108588 V 11/14-00 36 7 1 28 49 W35 52 4 1 NW33 2423 W41 90056 G 11/14-01 36 7 1 28 48 W30 46 5 1 NW29 2100 W38 71523 G 11/14-02 36 7 1 28 47 W26 40 5 1 NW25 1777 W35 52991 F 11/14-03 36 7 1 28 48 W24 37 5 1 NW24 1437 W31 41051 F 11/14-04 36 7 1 27 50 W23 35 5 1 NW24 1098 W29 29111 P 11/14-05 23 4 1 28 50 W23 35 5 1 W26 759 W26 17172 P 11/14-06 23 4 1 28 48 W24 37 5 1 W28 805 W28 19002 P 11/14-07 23 4 1 27 44 W26 39 5 1 W30 851 W28 20833 P 11/14-08 23 4 1 30 39 W28 41 5 1 W32 897 W29 22664 P 11/14-09 23 4 1 37 32 W26 40 4 1 W33 2276 W31 68365 G 11/14-10 23 4 1 42 27 W25 37 4 1 W33 3654 W35 114065 V 11/14-11 35 4 1 44 23 W23 35 3 1 W35 5033 W37 159766 E 11/14-12 35 4 1 46 23 W22 32 3 1 W36 5083 W40 177558 E 11/14-13 35 4 1 46 23 W21 31 3 1 NW37 5134 W44 195350 E 11/14-14 35 4 1 45 24 W21 31 3 1 NW40 5185 W47 213141 E 11/14-15 35 4 1 43 26 W21 32 3 1 NW45 4447 W48 185909 E 11/14-16 35 4 1 40 29 W23 35 3 1 NW51 3709 W49 158677 E 11/14-17 25 3 1 36 31 W25 38 3 1 NW55 2971 W51 131445 V 11/14-18 25 3 1 33 31 W30 44 3 1 NW56 2795 W53 128513 V 11/14-19 25 3 1 32 30 W35 51 4 1 NW55 2620 W55 125580 V 11/14-20 25 3 1 32 29 W38 58 4 1 NW54 2444 W58 122648 V 11/14-21 25 3 1 32 30 W40 60 4 1 NW53 2414 W59 122935 V 11/14-22 25 3 1 31 31 W40 61 4 1 NW53 2384 W60 123222 V 11/14-23 24 3 1 30 32 W40 61 4 1 NW54 2354 W60 123509 V 11/15-00 24 3 1 29 32 W41 62 4 1 NW56 2396 W60 123892 V 11/15-01 24 3 1 29 33 W40 61 3 1 NW61 2437 W59 124276 V 11/15-02 24 3 1 29 34 W37 55 3 1 NW66 2479 W58 124660 V 11/15-03 24 3 1 29 37 W33 51 3 1 NW69 2310 W53 108339 V 11/15-04 24 3 1 28 40 W29 44 2 1 NW71 2142 W48 92018 G 11/15-05 27 7 1 29 42 W14 21 2 1 NW75 1973 W44 75697 G 11/15-06 27 7 1 28 39 W14 21 1 11/15-07 27 7 1 27 36 W14 21 1 11/15-08 27 7 1 30 32 W14 21 1 11/15-09 27 7 1 36 28 W14 21 1 11/15-10 27 7 1 40 26 W14 21 1 11/15-11 39 3 1 42 25 W10 16 1 11/15-12 39 3 1 44 26 W10 16 1 11/15-13 39 3 1 44 29 W10 16 1 11/15-14 39 3 1 43 32 W10 16 1 11/15-15 39 3 1 42 35 W10 16 1 11/15-16 39 3 1 40 39 W10 16 1 11/15-17 44 8 2 36 43 W12 17 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111112.DEERT.01/BOU