FNUS75 KBOU 121646 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR PINGREE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 921 AM MST SAT NOV 12 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...VERY STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. THE STRONGEST SURFACE WINDS WITH GUSTS NEAR 70 MPH WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. MOISTURE HAS INCREASED A BIT AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE. AS A RESULT...HUMIDITY READINGS WILL STABILIZE LATE THIS MORNING AND THEN GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOMEWHAT AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT STILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. MOST GUSTS SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 25 AND 40 MPH ON SUNDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY. HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO TREND LOWER MONDAY. SOME DECREASE IN WINDS IS FORECAST FOR THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW... MAINLY FLURRIES...AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41. MIN HUMIDITY........24%...INCREASING TO 40% BY 1600. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 25-45 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60-70 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 65-76 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 2300... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 27-37 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60-70 MPH DECREASING TO 50 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 64-76 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 48-68 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2300. FAIR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36. MIN HUMIDITY........48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 26-36 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 48-60 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0800. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. BREEZY. WEST WINDS AROUND 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PINGREE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/12-09 58 1 0 39 28 W41 62 4 1 W43 2735 W68 161771 E 11/12-10 58 1 0 40 30 W41 62 3 1 W44 3002 W69 181751 E 11/12-11 66 33 12 41 33 W41 62 3 1 W45 3269 W71 201732 E 11/12-12 66 33 12 41 35 W41 63 3 1 W47 3566 W71 220517 E 11/12-13 66 33 12 41 34 W43 63 2 1 W49 3862 W71 239303 E 11/12-14 66 33 12 41 34 W41 62 2 1 W54 4158 W71 258089 E 11/12-15 66 33 12 39 37 W38 62 2 1 W60 3813 W71 236471 E 11/12-16 66 33 12 36 42 W35 57 2 1 W68 3469 W71 214854 E 11/12-17 65 56 32 31 50 W33 47 2 1 W78 3124 W71 193236 E 11/12-18 65 56 32 29 56 W31 46 2 1 W92 3697 W68 215882 E 11/12-19 65 56 32 28 58 W31 47 2 1 W106 4271 W66 238528 E 11/12-20 65 56 32 27 59 W35 55 2 1 W113 4845 W62 261174 E 11/12-21 65 56 32 26 61 W38 60 3 1 W109 4176 W67 237264 E 11/12-22 65 56 32 26 62 W40 62 3 1 W99 3507 W71 213354 E 11/12-23 67 21 4 25 65 W40 62 4 1 W87 2838 W77 189445 E 11/13-00 67 21 4 25 63 W38 58 4 1 W82 2493 W74 160848 E 11/13-01 67 21 4 24 62 W33 51 3 1 W78 2149 W70 132251 V 11/13-02 67 21 4 23 62 W33 51 3 1 W76 1805 W66 103655 V 11/13-03 67 21 4 21 69 W30 45 3 1 W75 1636 W59 85887 G 11/13-04 67 21 4 21 70 W25 39 2 1 W76 1468 W52 68120 G 11/13-05 57 34 13 23 66 W22 33 2 1 W76 1300 W45 50352 F 11/13-06 57 34 13 22 71 W20 30 2 1 W76 2359 W46 95583 G 11/13-07 57 34 13 21 75 W18 28 2 1 W75 3418 W47 140813 V 11/13-08 57 34 13 22 73 W18 28 2 1 W74 4478 W48 186043 E 11/13-09 57 34 13 28 59 W20 29 2 1 W68 4540 W53 209823 E 11/13-10 57 34 13 32 52 W22 32 2 1 W63 4795 W54 226098 E 11/13-11 54 46 23 34 49 W24 37 2 1 W60 5049 W55 242372 E 11/13-12 54 46 23 36 48 W28 41 2 1 W56 5075 W54 239778 E 11/13-13 54 46 23 36 49 W31 47 2 1 W54 5101 W54 237183 E 11/13-14 54 46 23 36 50 W33 51 2 1 W54 5127 W53 234589 E 11/13-15 54 46 23 34 52 W32 48 2 1 W55 4918 W52 223655 E 11/13-16 54 46 23 33 54 W29 44 2 1 W56 4709 W52 212721 E 11/13-17 44 15 3 30 58 W26 40 2 1 W59 4500 W52 201788 E 11/13-18 44 15 3 28 61 W26 39 2 1 W58 4276 W53 196929 E 11/13-19 44 15 3 28 62 W26 40 3 1 W55 4052 W55 192069 E 11/13-20 44 15 3 28 62 W28 41 3 1 W53 3828 W56 187210 E 11/13-21 44 15 3 27 59 W28 43 3 1 NW52 3501 W54 165264 E 11/13-22 44 15 3 27 59 W29 43 4 1 NW51 3174 W52 143318 V 11/13-23 46 7 1 26 60 W29 44 4 1 NW48 2848 W49 121371 V 11/14-00 46 7 1 26 60 W29 44 4 1 NW45 2478 W47 103498 V 11/14-01 46 7 1 26 61 W30 45 5 1 NW40 2109 W46 85625 G 11/14-02 46 7 1 26 60 W30 45 5 1 NW38 1740 W45 67752 G 11/14-03 46 7 1 26 59 W30 44 5 1 NW38 1570 W41 57921 F 11/14-04 46 7 1 26 56 W29 43 4 1 W39 1399 W39 48091 F 11/14-05 27 6 1 26 54 W28 41 4 1 W41 1229 W36 38261 P 11/14-06 27 6 1 26 53 W26 39 4 1 W41 1367 W37 44360 F 11/14-07 27 6 1 25 51 W25 38 4 1 W41 1504 W38 50459 F 11/14-08 27 6 1 26 48 W25 38 4 1 W41 1642 W39 56558 F 11/14-09 27 6 1 32 42 W28 41 3 1 W40 2968 W41 111781 V 11/14-10 27 6 1 37 37 W30 45 3 1 W39 4294 W44 167004 E 11/14-11 48 6 1 39 34 W31 47 2 1 W40 5620 W46 222227 E 11/14-12 48 6 1 40 35 W29 44 2 1 W44 5538 W48 232489 E 11/14-13 48 6 1 41 37 W26 39 2 1 NW51 5455 W52 242751 E 11/14-14 48 6 1 40 39 W24 37 2 1 NW56 5373 W54 253013 E 11/14-15 48 6 1 39 41 W24 37 2 1 NW60 4858 W58 238381 E 11/14-16 48 6 1 36 43 W25 39 3 1 NW63 4343 W60 223749 E 11/14-17 27 6 1 33 43 W28 41 3 1 NW66 3828 W63 209117 E 11/14-18 27 6 1 30 42 W30 45 3 1 NW67 3907 W64 219062 E 11/14-19 27 6 1 30 39 W32 48 4 1 NW68 3987 W66 229007 E 11/14-20 27 6 1 29 37 W33 51 4 1 NW68 4066 W68 238953 E 11/14-21 27 6 1 29 34 W33 51 4 1 NW70 4253 W67 246376 E 11/14-22 27 6 1 28 32 W33 49 3 1 NW71 4439 W66 253800 E 11/14-23 42 6 1 27 31 W32 48 3 1 NW75 4626 W64 261224 E 11/15-00 42 6 1 27 33 W32 48 3 1 NW77 4450 W63 246685 E 11/15-01 42 6 1 27 36 W31 47 3 1 NW81 4275 W62 232146 E 11/15-02 42 6 1 26 40 W30 45 3 1 NW84 4099 W61 217607 E 11/15-03 42 6 1 27 43 W28 43 3 1 NW85 3764 W61 198752 E 11/15-04 42 6 1 27 46 W26 39 2 1 NW87 3428 W60 179898 E 11/15-05 48 10 2 26 48 W20 30 2 1 NW89 3093 W60 161043 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MOLINARI REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20111112.PINGR.01/BOU