FNUS73 KPAH 121355 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR OAKWOOD BOTTOMS RX UNITS 26 27 28...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 755 AM CST SAT NOV 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE ENTIRE REGION CAN EXPECT GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL FALL TO NEAR 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE DEW POINTS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED ON SUNDAY... BUT HUMIDITY WILL BE MUCH HIGHER. CHANCES OF RAIN WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH OUR BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 37 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 57 60 61 62 62 62 61 RH..............50 45 42 40 39 37 40 44 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.5 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.25 28 30 33 36 37 36 32 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 32 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............59 58 57 57 57 56 RH..............53 60 64 70 73 79 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 900 900 1000 900 800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 29 S 30 S 32 S 30 S 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 2 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 39 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 31 TO 40 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............56 60 65 66 RH..............84 77 67 64 20 FT WIND......S 14G35 S 14G35 SW 13G30 SW 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1600 2400 2600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 39 SW 37 SW 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111112.OAKWO.01/PAH