FNUS73 KPAH 121759 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR OAKWOOD BOTTOMS RX UNITS 26 27 28...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1159 AM CST SAT NOV 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1135 CST ON NOVEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. RH VALUES AT THE SITE SHOULD ONLY FALL TO 39 PERCENT FOR THE MINIMUM. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE WINDS WILL NOT DECREASE MUCH IF AT ALL TONIGHT AND TOMORROW THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGER IN THE MORNING HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900-3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 37 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 60 62 63 63 62 61 RH..............48 46 44 43 43 45 49 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 35 35 35 35 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.5 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.28 30 33 36 37 36 32 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 32 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............59 58 57 57 57 56 RH..............54 60 64 70 73 79 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 12 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 35 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 900 900 1000 900 800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 29 S 30 S 32 S 30 S 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 2 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 39 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 31 TO 40 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............56 60 65 66 RH..............84 77 67 64 20 FT WIND......S 14G35 S 14G35 SW 13G30 SW 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1600 2400 2600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 39 SW 37 SW 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...SPODEN REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111112.OAKWO.02/PAH