FNUS75 KGJT 141546
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELFLOWER...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
846 AM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL PROVIDE A MODERATE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY ALONG WITH SOME INSTABILITY. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED TUESDAY OTHER THAN SLIGHTLY LIGHTER TRANSPORT
WINDS AND A MORE STABLE AIRMASS...HOWEVER SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL STILL
REACH INTO THE LOW END GOOD CATEGORY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THEN DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (27100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO LOW END GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111114.BELFL.01/GJT