FNUS75 KGJT 141529
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO FORK PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
829 AM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL PROVIDE A MODERATE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY ALONG WITH SOME INSTABILITY. THE
MAIN CHANGE TUESDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS AND
A MORE STABLE AIRMASS...BUT SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL STILL REACH INTO
THE GOOD CATEGORY.

.TODAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29100-31400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR BY LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (37000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD BY
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...ARTHUR HAINES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111114.BUFFA.01/GJT