FNUS75 KGJT 141605
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELECTRA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
905 AM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL PROVIDE A MODERATE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY ALONG WITH SOME INSTABILITY. THE
MAIN CHANGE TUESDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS AND
MORE STABLE AIRMASS...HOWEVER SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL STILL
REACH INTO THE LOW END FAIR CATEGORY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7-12 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    7-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO LOW END FAIR BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    AFTER DARK AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (21700-31600 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO A LOW END FAIR BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111114.ELECT.01/GJT