FNUS75 KGJT 141622
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LARSON II...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
922 AM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL PROVIDE A MODERATE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY ALONG WITH SOME INSTABILITY. THE
MAIN CHANGE TUESDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS AND
MORE STABLE AIRMASS...HOWEVER SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL STILL
REACH INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (32500-39000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (35200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD BY
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111114.LARSO.01/GJT