FNUS75 KGJT 141642
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE CARVER ROCK SPRINGS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
942 AM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL PROVIDE A MODERATE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY ALONG WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY. THIS
WILL PRODUCE ONLY A LOW END FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL...THAT WILL QUICKLY
DECREASE BY 1700.

.TODAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    3-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO LOW END FAIR BY 1300...THEN
                    DECREASING TO POOR BY 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12900-18300 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...DAVE GRETTENBERG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111114.LITTL.01/GJT