FNUS75 KGJT 141515
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STAGESTOP PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
815 AM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL PROVIDE A MODERATE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY ALONG WITH SOME INSTABILITY. THE
MAIN CHANGE TUESDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS AND
MORE STABLE AIRMASS...WHICH WILL INHIBIT SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (33900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO A LOW END
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4-9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (34900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO LOW END FAIR
                    BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL BY
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...ARTHUR HAINES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111114.STAGE.01/GJT