FNUS73 KOAX 141054 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR HITCHCOCK...PARTNER AGENCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 454 AM CST MON NOV 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 AT SUNRISE WILL CLIMB TOWARD THE MID 50S BY THE NOON IGNITION TIME. AND SOUTH WINDS EARLY IN THE DAY WILL BECOME WESTERLY BY NOON...AVERAGING 20 DEGREES NORTH AND SOUTH OF DUE WEST THROUGH THE BURN. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH. WITH THE WEST WINDS AND AFTERNOON SUNSHINE...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....53 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 43 35 22 21 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 41 47 53 56 56 RH..............76 70 53 33 26 30 20 FT WIND......SW 7 W 9 W 14 W 18 W 20 W 16 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 20 30 30 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 32. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........19 24 29 33 36 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 43 39 37 36 34 RH..............43 50 56 63 68 74 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 9 SW 10 S 12 SW 10 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 5 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 47. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 30 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 37 30 24 18 11 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 33 38 43 46 46 RH..............78 72 52 39 32 30 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 12 NW 16 NW 18 NW 17 NW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 25 30 25 15 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 6 6 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DERGAN REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111114.HITCH.01/OAX