FNUS75 KGJT 150501
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO FORK PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1001 PM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ENERGETIC WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER THE REGION THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE WILL
BRUSH WESTERN COLORADO ON TUESDAY FOR A FEW SNOW SHOWERS. MODERATE
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL COMBINE WITH THE BRISK FLOW FOR VERY GOOD
SMOKE DISPERSAL DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG
ON WEDNESDAY.

.TUESDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN GOOD...INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH...DECREASING TO 4-8 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN IMPROVING TO GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...ARTHUR HAINES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.BUFFA.01/GJT