FNUS75 KGJT 142318
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELECTRA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
418 PM MST MON NOV 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE BURN SITE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MORE
STABLE WEDNESDAY AS WARMING ALOFT OCCURS OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL
LOWER BOTH THE MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS...RESULTING IN A
LOWER SMOKE DISPERSAL INDEX.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A
                    FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (24100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19100-36600 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5-10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15800-25000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO LOW END
                    FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.ELECT.01/GJT