FNUS76 KMFR 160232
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DORRIS 2...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
632 PM PST TUE NOV 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 PST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STATIONARY FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
OVERNIGHT...KEEPING SNOW LEVELS ABOVE THE SURFACE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST.
WETTING RAIN IS UNLIKELY ON WEDNESDAY...BUT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WETTING RAINS WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE BURN SITE THURSDAY...DROPPING
TEMPERATURES SHARPLY AND BRINGING SOME SNOW TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT
THURSDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...MAINLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-49.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH EARLY BECOMING WEST 20 TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT EARLY...20 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...SAM TACCHINI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.DORRI.01/MFR