FNUS76 KMFR 151301
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY OAK HANDPILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
501 AM PST TUE NOV 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS TO THE BURN AREA TODAY ALONG WITH HIGHER
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AND ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. THE WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING WINDS WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF RAIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH SNOW LEVELS DOWN CLOSE TO THE BURN
ELEVATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT EAST WIND IN THE MORNING...THEN WEST 2 TO 3
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 4 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...MATT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.HAPPY.01/MFR