FNUS76 KMFR 151200
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LD 4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
400 AM PST TUE NOV 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT NEARBY WILL BRING OCCASIONAL LIGHT
RAIN TO THE BURN AREA TODAY. RAIN AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL
BE BETWEEN A TENTH AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH WITH THE SNOW LEVEL
STAYING ABOVE THE BURN AREA. LATE WEDNESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT
BRINGS GUSTY WINDS. STEADY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO START WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY WITH RAIN AMOUNTS AROUND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 4000 FEET
THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL
BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION
TURNING TO SNOW SHOWERS AT THE BURN AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SNOW
AMOUNTS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY SHOULD ONLY BE A FEW INCHES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PERIODS OF RAIN...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42.
MIN HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CWR.................54 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
RAIN. LOWS 36. HIGHS 42. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING THEN DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 27. HIGHS 34. SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENDRIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.LD4A_.01/MFR