FNUS76 KMFR 151433
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH RESERVOIR...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
633 AM PST TUE NOV 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STATIONARY FRONT WEST OF THE BURN AREA WILL BRING
MORE CLOUDS TODAY BUT MOST RAIN WILL STAY WEST OF THE CASCADES. A
WARM FRONT WILL PUSH ONSHORE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. ONCE AGAIN
MOST PRECIPITATION WILL STAY WEST OF THE CASCADES BUT CANNOT RULE
OUT A LITTLE RAIN OR SNOW. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. MUCH
COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH SNOW
LEVELS LOWERING DOWN TO THE BURN ELEVATION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTH WIND BECOMING WEST 2 TO 3 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 500 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-49.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...SAM TACCHINI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.SMITH.01/MFR