FNUS72 KMLB 151107
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SP25...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
607 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0625 EST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AFTER SOME MORNING FOG AND LOW CLOUDS, A VERY MOIST
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP AND KEEP THE THREAT FOR SPOTTY
SHOWERS GOING THROUGH LATE MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. DISPERSION
WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD DUE TO INCREASING TRANSPORT WINDS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONLY DROP T0 THE LOWER 70S THIS
AFTERNOON.

DUE TO LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND FLOW AND A MIXING HEIGHT NEAR
1000 FEET, DISPERSION VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 13 WITH A LVORI
OF ONLY 5. THESE INDICATES SMOKE HAVING A HARD TIME SETTLING NEAR
AND DOWNWIND OF THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............73  75  77  79  80  81  82  82  81  81  80  79
RH..............90  90  87  85  82  79  77  74  74  77  79  82
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   10  12  13  14  15  15  15  15  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.10      15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
LVORI...............5.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...DYLAN GAVAGNI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.SP25_.02/MLB