FNUS72 KMLB 151027
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SSR1N 1S...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
527 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON NOVEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT MOIST CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING DUE TO
THE COMBINATION OF EARLY MORNING RAINFALL, CLOUDS, HIGH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND LIGHT WINDS. OTHERWISE CLOUDS AND SOME SUNSHINE IS
EXPECTED WITH SPOTTY SHOWERS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH SUNSET.

GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE, A RELATIVELY HIGH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 70 PERCENT IS EXPECTED.

DUE TO LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A MIXING HEIGHT A LITTLE ABOVE 500
FEET MOST OF THE NIGHT, DISPERSION VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 11
WITH A LVORI OF ONLY 6. THESE SEEMS TO INDICATE THAT SMOKE WOULD
HAVE A HARD TIME SETTLING AND BECOMING DENSE, IN SPITE OF FOG BEING
IN THE FORECAST, MAINLY WEST OF THE BURN SITE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............79  80  81  82  82  81  81  80  78  77  77  76
RH..............82  77  74  72  72  72  72  74  79  82  82  85
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  9   9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.    15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
LVORI...............6.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...EVAN HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.SSR1N.02/MLB