FNUS73 KOAX 151015 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR ARROWHEAD PARK...POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTY CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 415 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY BRINGING GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS TO THE AREA...WITH THE HIGHEST SPEEDS GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80. IN THIS AREA...WIND SPEEDS COULD RANGE FROM 25 TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 52. RH..................28 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM SKY (%).........35 28 18 11 17 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 51 51 41 35 31 RH..............28 30 36 45 49 51 20 FT WIND......NW 17 NW 17 NW 17 NW 10 NW 7 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23. RH..................MAX 62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41. RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600-6500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111115.ARROW.01/OAX