FNUS73 KSGF 151613 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY PEN...MO.DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1013 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON NOVEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOME LOW STRATUS CLOUDS JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE BURN AREA MAY BRIEFLY AFFECT THE THE REGION THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON GRADUALLY VEERING LIGHT GENERAL SOUTHWEST WINDS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SW AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...GRADUALLY BECOMING WEST THEN NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........A GRADUAL WIND SHIFT WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 65 68 64 RH..............78 59 52 52 20 FT WIND......SW 4 W 5 W 4 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1700 2500 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 15 W 18 NW 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 33. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........GRADUAL SHIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE NORTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 46 42 40 RH..............68 72 64 52 20 FT WIND......NW 4G5 N 5G10 N 6G10 N 5 MIX HGT (FT)....200 100 200 400 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 24 N 28 N 30 N 29 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 49. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 30 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS..... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 37 42 46 48 46 RH..............48 50 40 32 30 34 20 FT WIND......NE 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 5 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1400 2600 2200 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..M M M M M M CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...ALBERT REQUESTED BY...LARRY WEBB TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111115.TURKE.01/SGF