FNUS76 KSGX 151028
FWSSGX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE JAY PILE...CNF TRAB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
228 AM PST TUE NOV 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 15 AND
A REVISED FORECAST POSITION OF 33.58N 117.447W...ALONG SITTON PEAK
TRUCK TRAIL...SSW OF SITTON PEAK.

PLEASE VERIFY LOCATION AND IF UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FOR AN UPDATED FORECAST.

...COOL AND DAMP TODAY...
...WARM AND DRY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH WEAK NORTHEAST FLOW...
...COOL AND WET FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG COASTAL EDDY WILL KEEP THE MARINE LAYER DEPTH ABOVE 3000 FEET
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL BUILD ACROSS CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN WEAKEN ON THURSDAY.
THIS SHOULD LOWER THE MARINE LAYER TO 2000 FEET TONIGHT AND KEEP IT
BELOW THE BURN SITE ELEVATIONS THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MARINE LAYER
WILL LIKELY DEEPEN BACK ABOVE THE BURN ELEVATIONS AGAIN AFTER THURSDAY
AS A BROAD COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH CALIFORNIA.
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
SHOWERS ON SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE WETTING RAIN OVER THE BURN SITE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH FOG AND DRIZZLE THROUGH MID MORNING...
                    BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY AND HAZY AFTER 1100 PST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND................
   SLOPES...........NORTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5 MPH WITH GUSTS 10 MPH.
CHC WETTING RAIN....5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

TIME (PST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........89  11  11  11  11  11  11  6   6
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TEMP............52  56  59  60  60  60  60  59  53
RH..............95  80  65  60  60  60  60  60  75
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0   0   0   0   1   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.2   1   1   2   3   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND................
   SLOPES...........NORTHEAST/DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHEAST 5 MPH WITH GUSTS 10 MPH.
CHC WETTING RAIN....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND................
   SLOPES...........NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST/UPSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHEAST 5 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 MPH.
CHC WETTING RAIN....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 4 MPH.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY...
CLEAR. LOW 54. HIGH 67. MINIMUM RH 20 PERCENT. WINDS NORTHEAST 5 MPH
IN THE MORNING AND SOUTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY...
BECOMING CLOUDY. LOW 51. HIGH 55. WINDS SOUTH 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...
CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNT FROM A TRACE TO 0.05 INCHES. LOW 46. HIGH 51.
WINDS SOUTHWEST 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
RAINFALL AMOUNT UP TO 0.15 INCHES. WIND SOUTHEAST 5 MPH. HIGH 55.
MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.

OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY NOV. 21 THROUGH WEDNESDAY NOV. 23...
MUCH DRIER AND WARMER. HIGHS 65 TO 70. MINIMUM RH 12 TO 15 PERCENT.
MAXIMUM RH 30 TO 40 PERCENT. WINDS NORTHEAST 8 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ROB BALFOUR
REQUESTED BY...JACOB GIPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111115.BLUEJ.01/SGX