FNUS74 KEPZ 161657
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOMBRERO RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
957 AM MST WED NOV 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0955 MST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST WILL
BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. A RETURN TO MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE TO OUR EAST FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE BREEZY
WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. FIRE WEATHER
PARAMETERS WILL "APPROACH" CRITICAL LEVELS MAINLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE...HOWEVER RH LEVELS AT THIS TIME ARE FORECAST
TO STILL BE HIGH ENOUGH TO AVOID RED FLAG CONDITIONS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VRBL 2-5 MPH BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    MID TO LATER AFTERNOON NORTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-6400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS. GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST TO EAST 8 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS. MARGINAL.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS. FAIR TO GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111116.SOMBR.01/EPZ