FNUS75 KGJT 161616
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEEDHOUSE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
916 AM MST WED NOV 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO MIX DOWN
TO THE BURN SITE TODAY. THOUGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE A
FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN ON TUESDAY...GOOD VERTICAL MIXING WILL
OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON UP TO 3000-4000 FT AGL. THESE MIXING
HEIGHTS WILL COLLAPSE QUICKLY BEFORE SUNSET. THURSDAY...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO WEST. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL WARM...BUT STABILITY
WILL INCREASE DUE TO STRONG WARMING AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH FLURRIES POSSIBLE THIS
                    MORNING. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-31 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-8 GUSTS TO 15 MPH THIS MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT 1100...INCREASING TO 3500 FT
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH BECOMING WEST 15 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT AFTER 1800...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY AFTER 1000...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING GOOD AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111116.SEEDH.01/GJT