FNUS72 KJAX 161058 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT 28...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 558 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON NOVEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AS WELL AS AREAS OF DENSE FOG. FOG WILL LIFT BY MID-MORNING WHILE THE CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE LATER PART OF THE AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT RIGHT ALONG THE COLD FRONT. WINDS TODAY WILL BE GUSTY AND FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH SPEEDS 15 TO 20 MPH BY MIDDAY WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. THURSDAY MORNING FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WINDS WILL SHIFT WEST TO NORTHWEST WITH SPEEDS AGAIN NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....64. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LVORI...............MISSING. TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........83 81 77 76 79 WEATHER COV.....AREAS S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNFOG RN/FG RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............63 74 81 83 82 RH..............100 85 70 66 67 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 10 S 15 SW 17 SW 16 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2000 2900 3100 2700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 18 SW 25 SW 26 SW 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....9. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............8. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........77 78 84 87 88 89 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 70 68 66 65 64 RH..............84 96 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 7 SW 7 S 8 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 900 700 500 500 600 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 14 SW 12 SW 10 SW 10 SW 12 LVORI...........8 8 8 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 40 50 60 LAL.............2 2 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2 UNTIL 1000...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....53. $$ FORECASTER...ENYEDI REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111116.CPT28.01/JAX