FNUS76 KMFR 161559
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KENO 3...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
759 AM PST WED NOV 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE BURN AREA.  THE FOLLOWING
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
RAIN FROM THE FRONT SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE BURN AREA LATER TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY...THEN MUCH COOLER AIR AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...POSSIBLE GUST TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34.
MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 MPH MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.  GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200-4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 30-35 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GETTMAN
REQUESTED BY...MIKE MCGIRR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111116.KENO3.01/MFR