FNUS76 KMFR 161523
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH PILES...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
723 AM PST WED NOV 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE BURN AREA THIS
MORNING. MOST IF NOT ALL PRECIPITATION WILL BE WEST OF THE
CASCADES TODAY. WITH FULL SHELTERING EYE LEVEL WINDS SHOULD BE FAIRLY
LIGHT BUT SOUTHWESTERLY MIXING WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE IN TONIGHT WITH WETTING RAIN BECOMING
MORE LIKELY. POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY. MUCH COLDER
AIR WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING
TO THE BURN ELEVATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-49.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM EARLY BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PERIODS OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AT NIGHT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH. GUSTS TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN PYLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111116.MARSH.01/MFR