FNUS72 KMLB 161503
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SSR1N 1S...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1003 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH LOOK TO BACK MORE
ONSHORE AROUND 11 AM AS I SHOW YOU JUST WEST OF FLEMING GRANT ROAD. I
WOULD EXPECT A 20 FOOT WIND AZIMUTH RANGE FROM AROUND 120 TO 140 DEGREES
ONCE FULLER MIXING IS REALIZED AROUND NOON. SMOKE TRANSPORT AZIMUTH LOOKS
MORE SOUTHERLY WITH A RANGE FROM 170 TO 190 BEST ESTIMATE WITH SPEEDS
OF 12 TO 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2600-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............79  80  81  82  82  82  81  79  78  76  75  75
RH..............79  77  72  69  67  67  67  74  76  82  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..9   8   8   8   9   12  12  13  11  10  8   6
20 FT WIND GUST.        13  15  15  15  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............9.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.

$$

FORECASTER...PENDERGRAST
REQUESTED BY...EVAN HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111116.SSR1N.01/MLB