FNUS73 KOAX 161032 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR TROXEL...POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTY CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 432 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS COULD BRING SOME SPOTTY FLURRIES TO WESTERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA TODAY BUT NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. OTHER AREAS WILL SEE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT...ALLOWING WINDS TO BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH ONCE AGAIN...WITH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SPOTTY SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AREA ON SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 42. RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5300-7200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM SKY (%).........65 60 54 49 36 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 40 38 33 29 27 RH..............32 30 31 38 49 65 20 FT WIND......NW 9 NW 10 NW 10 W 10 W 9 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 19. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48. RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 25 TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. $$ FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111116.TROXE.01/OAX