FNUS75 KBOU 171247 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GORE LAKES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 545 AM MST THU NOV 17 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHIFTS WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE SOME MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BUT NO SNOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH A PERIOD OF SNOW EXPECTED. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SNOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 10000...THEN WEST WINDS 12-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........77%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....39. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GORELAKES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/17-05 30 0 0 8 82 SW15 24 2 1 NW59 159 W12 1656 P 11/17-06 30 0 0 7 87 SW16 25 2 1 NW58 224 SW12 2333 P 11/17-07 30 0 0 9 85 SW16 25 2 1 W58 289 SW12 3011 P 11/17-08 30 0 0 14 70 SW15 24 2 1 W56 354 SW12 3688 P 11/17-09 30 0 0 21 56 SW13 20 2 1 W58 1044 SW15 17553 P 11/17-10 30 0 0 28 46 SW 9 15 2 1 W58 1735 SW18 31417 P 11/17-11 34 0 0 32 43 SW 8 13 2 1 W59 2425 SW22 45282 F 11/17-12 34 0 0 34 40 SW12 17 2 1 W58 2727 SW24 58585 F 11/17-13 34 0 0 35 38 SW16 25 3 1 W55 3028 W26 71888 G 11/17-14 34 0 0 36 36 SW20 31 3 1 W54 3330 W30 85191 G 11/17-15 34 0 0 36 39 SW21 33 3 1 W55 2888 W29 72205 G 11/17-16 34 0 0 34 42 SW21 33 2 1 W58 2446 W28 59218 F 11/17-17 43 0 0 32 47 SW21 33 2 1 W59 2005 SW26 46231 F 11/17-18 43 0 0 30 52 SW21 33 2 1 W61 1653 SW25 36761 P 11/17-19 43 0 0 28 55 SW21 33 3 1 W62 1302 SW23 27290 P 11/17-20 43 0 0 27 55 SW21 33 3 1 W62 951 SW22 17820 P 11/17-21 43 0 0 26 56 SW21 33 3 1 W62 862 SW22 16104 P 11/17-22 43 0 0 25 57 SW21 33 2 1 W62 773 SW22 14389 P 11/17-23 43 0 0 25 58 SW21 33 2 1 W62 684 SW22 12673 P 11/18-00 43 0 0 24 59 SW20 32 2 1 W63 635 SW21 11315 P 11/18-01 43 0 0 24 61 SW18 30 3 1 W66 587 SW20 9957 P 11/18-02 43 0 0 23 63 SW16 25 3 1 W68 538 SW18 8599 P 11/18-03 43 0 0 23 63 SW13 20 3 1 W69 524 SW17 7767 P 11/18-04 43 0 0 22 64 SW 9 14 3 1 W70 510 SW16 6935 P 11/18-05 33 0 0 22 66 SW 6 6 3 1 W70 496 SW14 6103 P 11/18-06 33 0 0 22 69 SW 5 5 3 1 W70 493 SW14 5970 P 11/18-07 33 0 0 22 74 S 5 5 2 1 W70 489 SW14 5837 P 11/18-08 33 0 0 22 77 S 6 6 2 1 W70 486 SW14 5703 P 11/18-09 33 0 0 25 71 SW 8 13 2 1 W69 1510 SW21 35751 P 11/18-10 33 0 0 29 59 SW12 17 2 1 W68 2334 SW26 62166 G 11/18-11 42 1 0 33 50 SW14 22 2 1 W67 3158 SW32 88581 G 11/18-12 42 1 0 35 44 SW15 24 2 1 W67 3656 SW36 114095 V 11/18-13 42 1 0 37 41 SW16 25 2 1 W68 4155 SW38 139609 V 11/18-14 42 1 0 38 39 SW16 25 2 1 W70 4653 SW40 165123 E 11/18-15 42 1 0 37 41 SW15 24 2 1 W73 4343 SW40 153277 E 11/18-16 42 1 0 36 44 SW14 22 2 1 W75 4032 SW40 141432 V 11/18-17 72 20 4 34 48 SW13 21 2 1 W77 3721 SW40 129586 V 11/18-18 72 20 4 32 55 SW12 20 2 1 W77 2948 SW36 97387 G 11/18-19 72 20 4 30 60 SW12 18 2 1 W76 2175 SW31 65189 G 11/18-20 72 20 4 29 62 SW12 18 2 1 W75 1402 SW28 32990 P 11/18-21 72 20 4 29 65 SW12 17 2 1 W75 1339 SW26 30773 P 11/18-22 72 20 4 28 67 SW10 17 2 1 W76 1275 SW25 28556 P 11/18-23 88 51 27 27 70 SW12 18 2 1 W77 1211 SW25 26340 P 11/19-00 88 51 27 24 78 SW14 22 2 1 SW77 1011 SW25 21973 P 11/19-01 88 51 27 23 82 SW16 26 2 1 SW76 811 SW25 17606 P 11/19-02 88 51 27 23 81 SW18 30 2 1 SW77 610 SW25 13238 P 11/19-03 88 51 27 23 80 SW20 31 2 1 SW79 827 SW28 20311 P 11/19-04 88 51 27 23 76 SW20 32 2 1 SW83 1044 SW29 27384 P 11/19-05 93 69 51 22 77 SW20 31 2 1 W86 1261 SW31 34457 P 11/19-06 93 69 51 21 80 SW20 31 2 1 W90 1928 SW29 44524 F 11/19-07 93 69 51 21 81 SW20 31 2 1 W92 2595 W25 54590 F 11/19-08 93 69 51 22 77 W18 30 2 1 W93 3262 W23 64656 G 11/19-09 93 69 51 23 70 W18 29 2 1 W93 4146 W25 94089 G 11/19-10 93 69 51 25 64 W17 28 2 1 W92 5031 W28 123522 V 11/19-11 78 47 23 26 60 W16 25 2 1 W90 5915 W30 152955 E 11/19-12 78 47 23 27 58 W14 22 2 1 W90 6093 W29 149788 V 11/19-13 78 47 23 27 57 W12 12 2 1 W89 6270 W26 146622 V 11/19-14 78 47 23 28 57 W 9 9 2 1 W87 6448 W25 143456 V 11/19-15 78 47 23 28 58 W 8 8 2 1 W85 6100 W25 132308 V 11/19-16 78 47 23 27 61 SW 7 7 2 1 W82 5751 SW24 121160 V 11/19-17 66 25 5 26 64 SW 6 6 2 1 W78 5403 SW23 110012 V 11/19-18 66 25 5 25 66 SW 7 7 2 1 W74 4816 SW24 99187 G 11/19-19 66 25 5 24 69 SW 8 13 2 1 W69 4229 SW24 88363 G 11/19-20 66 25 5 22 72 S 8 13 2 1 W64 3642 SW24 77538 G 11/19-21 66 25 5 21 76 S 7 7 2 1 W62 2867 SW21 56533 F 11/19-22 66 25 5 20 80 S 6 6 2 1 W61 2092 SW16 35529 P 11/19-23 61 25 5 20 83 S 5 5 2 1 W60 1316 SW13 14524 P 11/20-00 61 25 5 19 85 S 5 5 2 1 W58 1098 SW13 11855 P 11/20-01 61 25 5 18 84 S 5 5 2 1 W55 879 SW12 9186 P 11/20-02 61 25 5 18 84 S 6 6 2 1 W53 661 SW12 6516 P 11/20-03 61 25 5 17 83 S 6 6 2 1 W54 575 SW10 5400 P 11/20-04 61 25 5 17 81 S 7 7 2 1 W55 489 SW10 4285 P 11/20-05 69 22 4 17 81 SW 7 7 2 1 SW56 403 SW 9 3169 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...SARAH WESTENDORF REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111117.GOREL.01/BOU