FNUS73 KLOT 171344 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARQUETTE TRAIL UNIT 2...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 744 AM CST THU NOV 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON NOVEMBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS BETWEEN 7 AND 12 MPH WILL INCREASE BY IGNITION TIME SLIGHTLY AS GUSTS INCREASE INTO AND BEYOND THAT TIME. PEAK WIND GUSTS INTO THE AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY RANGE IN THE 25 MPH RANGE WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM. FULL SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW THE GUSTS TO START EARLY THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDOWN. THERE IS NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. CONDITIONS TOMORROW WILL BE WINDIER. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY AND ARE FORECAST BE 15 TO 20 MPH AT IGNITION TIME BEFORE BEGINNING TO GUST IN THE 35 TO 40 MPH RANGE BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 38. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6200-6600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /172100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT /213900 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........19 17 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............34 35 36 37 38 38 37 36 35 RH..............47 43 40 37 34 34 35 36 40 20FT WIND DIR...280 280 280 280 280 280 280 270 260 20FT SPEED(MPH).09 10 11 12 12 12 11 10 8 20FT SPEED(KT)..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 7 20FT GUST(MPH)..23 23 23 24 25 25 24 21 18 20FT GUST(KT)...20 20 20 21 22 22 21 18 16 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.7 6.2 6.6 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.1 5.6 4.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.280 280 280 280 280 270 270 270 250 TRANSP WIND SPD.31 31 32 32 33 35 33 30 25 VRATE KT-FT/1000156 172 183 190 205 214 204 160 102 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31. RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 33 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1500-49600 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........14 15 15 16 19 21 24 20 16 12 14 16 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............35 34 33 32 32 32 32 32 31 31 31 31 RH..............41 45 47 51 53 53 56 58 61 63 63 63 20FT WIND DIR...250 240 220 210 210 210 210 210 200 200 200 200 20FT SPEED(MPH).6 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 11 12 20FT SPEED(KT)..6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 20FT GUST(MPH)..14 13 13 14 14 15 16 18 20 23 24 28 20FT GUST(KT)...12 11 11 12 12 13 14 16 17 20 21 24 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.240 240 220 220 210 210 200 200 200 200 200 200 TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 21 22 23 25 28 29 29 30 31 33 VRATE KT-FT/100050 24 10 5 2 3 6 6 6 6 4 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 43 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 36 TO 45 MPH DECREASING TO 38 TO 40 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD (7300-121400 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........18 19 20 21 23 24 26 28 31 33 34 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............32 34 36 38 42 45 47 47 48 48 47 45 RH..............61 58 56 54 46 41 38 38 37 37 40 43 20FT WIND DIR...200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 20FT SPEED(MPH).13 14 16 18 18 18 18 17 16 15 14 14 20FT SPEED(KT)..11 12 14 15 16 16 15 15 14 13 13 12 20FT GUST(MPH)..30 30 35 38 39 43 41 40 40 37 35 30 20FT GUST(KT)...26 26 30 33 34 37 36 35 35 32 30 26 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.190 190 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 TRANSP WIND SPD.36 40 45 49 51 52 52 49 47 44 40 38 VRATE KT-FT/10007 19 36 57 82 106 121 121 111 98 88 78 $$ FORECASTER...SHEA REQUESTED BY...NEAL MULCONREY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111117.MARQU.01/LOT