FNUS73 KLSX 171320
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CUIVRE RIVER STATE PARK...MODNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
720 AM CST THU NOV 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE INCREASED FIRE DANGER EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...DRY FUELS...
AND 20FT WIND SPEEDS OF GREATER THAN 10 MPH.  OTHERWISE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BY FRIDAY...IT WILL BE TO OUR EAST
AND GIVE OUR AREA STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY WINDS RESULTING
IN A WARM-UP.

EYE LEVEL WINDS WERE CALCULATED USING A 0.3 ADJUSTMENT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 46.
RH..................25 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    5200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (8939 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 2 TO 3 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 6 TO 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 22 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 9 TO 15 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE SCHUETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111117.CUIVR.01/LSX