FNUS76 KMFR 170709
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DORRIS 2...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1109 PM PST WED NOV 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS IN THE MORNING AS
A COLD FRONT PASSES THE SITE. THEN PRECIPITATION WILL TURN TO SNOW
AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM LATE THURSDAY EVENING.
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH PERIODS
OF SNOW CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-48.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 35 TO 50 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THEN SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM. ACCUMULATION 1 TO 2 INCHES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL FALLING TO 2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
CWR.................75 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
                    ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-31.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL RISING TO 3200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................75 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...MIKE MCGIRR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111117.DORRI.01/MFR