FNUS76 KMTR 171721
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT RIDGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MONTEREY CA
921 AM PST THU NOV 17 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

UPDATED AS OF 9:15 AM THURSDAY FOR WINDS AND TIMING OF FRONT AFTER
TALKING TO BURN BOSS.

DISCUSSION...LIGHT WEST WINDS THROUGH MIDDAY UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. A COLD FRONT...MAINLY DRY IS CURRENTLY ACROSS MENDOCINO COUNTY
AND WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD INTO MARIN COUNTY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OR
SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE GUSTY RIDGE TOP
WINDS THAT MAY MIX DOWN TO THE 1000 FOOT LEVEL AFTER 2 PM AS THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SECONDARY BOUNDARY ARRIVES ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
SHOWERS AND GUSTY NW WINDS...WITH WETTING RAIN LIKELY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 930 PST THURSDAY 11/17/11
   SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER 1 PM
                       WITH A FEW SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES POSSIBLE AFTER
                       3 PM.
   TEMPERATURE.........51...HIGH 53-55
   HUMIDITY............80-85%...MIN 75-80%
   EYE LEVEL WIND......WEST WINDS 3-5 MPH THROUGH ABOUT 2 PM.
                       AFTER 2 PM WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH WITH FEW
                       GUSTS 12-15 MPH POSSIBLE BETWEEN 3-6 PM.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH THROUGH 2 PM...OTHERWISE
                       8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH AFTER 2 PM.
   CWR.................10% BY 5 PM.

FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
   SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS.
   TEMPERATURE.........LOW 45-47
   HUMIDITY............MAX 90-100 PCT
   EYE LEVEL WIND......WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH GUSTS 10-12 MPH.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH GUSTS 12-15 MPH.
   CWR.................20%

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY
   SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS THRU THE DAY.
   TEMPERATURE.........HIGH 50-53
   HUMIDITY............MIN 65-75%
   EYE LEVEL WIND......WEST WINDS 4-7 MPH GUSTS 10-12 MPH.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH GUSTS 15-20 MPH.
   CWR.................80% BY 5 PM

FORECASTER...CW/RWW

$$

REQUESTED BY...TIM WALSH
REASON FOR REQUEST...ESSENTIAL TO PUBLIC SAFETY, E.G. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF
POPULATION CENTERS OR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.