FNUS75 KPUB 171535
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 155...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
835 AM MST THU NOV 17 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR DRY...WARM
AND BREEZY CONDITIONS AT THE BURN SITE TODAY. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH LEE TROUGHING ACROSS
THE I-25 CORRIDOR KEEPING WINDS UP ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR
TONIGHT WITH ONLY MODERATE RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. GOOD MIXING IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN SITE TOMORROW...WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS
PROBABLE FROM LATE FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    11-17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0600. GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(37 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34F.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0600. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111117.RANGE.01/PUB