FNUS76 KSGX 171243
FWSSGX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE JAY PILES...CNF TRAB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
443 AM PST THU NOV 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...CONTINUED WARM AND DRY TODAY...
...COOL AND WET LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...WARMING AND DRYING TREND MONDAY AND TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA WILL ERODE
TODAY AS COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE
MARINE AIR INFLUENCE SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW BURN SITE ELEVATIONS
TODAY. LATE TONIGHT THE MARINE LAYER WILL RE-DEEPEN TO ABOVE BURN
SITE ELEVATIONS AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.
THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING PERIODS OF FOG...DRIZZLE OR LIGHT
RAIN TO THE BURN SITE. ON SUNDAY NIGHT THE FRONT SHOULD BE DRIVEN
SOUTH OF THE AREA. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SIGNIFICANT WETTING
RAINS COULD OCCUR THEN. FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EXPECT A
RETURN OF DRY AIR... WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WEAK NORTHEAST
WINDS AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND................
   SLOPES...........EAST 1 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    WEST 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........WEST 5 MPH...BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHC WETTING RAIN....5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 MPH.

TIME (PST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1   8   8   8   8   8   8   13  13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  64  66  68  67  67  67  64  59
RH..............45  40  35  28  35  35  37  42  54
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..4   0   0   0   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   3   3   1   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR EVENING. FOG DEVELOPING AFTER 0200 PST.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND................
   SLOPES...........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    WEST 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHC WETTING RAIN....5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OR
                    DRIZZLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS....TRACE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND................
   SLOPES...........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........WEST 15 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
CHC WETTING RAIN....5 PERCENT...BECOMING 15 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
CLOUDY. PERIODS OF FOG...LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. CHANCE OF WETTING
RAIN 30 PERCENT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS TRACE TO 0.12 INCHES.
LOWS AROUND 46. HIGHS AROUND 53. WINDS SOUTHWEST 10 MPH GUSTING TO
20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 40
PERCENT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 0.25 INCHES. LOWS AROUND 44.
WINDS SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 59. WINDS NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5 MPH WITH
GUSTS 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROB BALFOUR
REQUESTED BY...JACOB GIPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111117.BLUEJ.01/SGX