FNUS73 KUNR 171516
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDNANSKY...SD-RBA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
816 AM MST THU NOV 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...THE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SOME INCREASE
IN HIGH CLOUDS. AFTER A COLD START...THE TEMEPERATURE WILL RISE TO AROUND
50 DEGREES WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO AROUND 25 PERCENT.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL...INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    12 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 TO 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17
                    TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AT IGNITION BECOMING FAIR EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 TO 2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT OLIVER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111117.MEDNA.01/UNR