FNUS71 KCTP 181100
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR F-1 UPDATE 1...PA NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL BRING DRY WEATHER
AND RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS TO THE REGION THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DIP TO NEAR
30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4900 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 8
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41  42  43  44  44  43  42
RH..................43  40  38  35  34  33  36
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  9   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.9 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.5 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....17  15  13  12  10  9   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...FITZGERALD
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111118.F1UPD.01/CTP