FNUS75 KGJT 172122
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLFLOWER...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
222 PM MST THU NOV 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BRISK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE BURN SITE FRIDAY...
BUT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY A
STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS OVER THE REGION...PRODUCING PERIODS OF LIGHT
SNOW AND GOOD MIXING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY
                    (80-90%). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (42700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). NUMEROUS LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111118.BELLF.01/GJT