FNUS75 KPUB 161727
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINELLO RANCH DITCH BURN...COLORADO SPRINGS UTILITIES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1027 AM MST WED NOV 16 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...STRONG POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY...

ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON
FRIDAY...PROVIDING A FAVORABLE SET UP FOR STRONG DAMAGING DOWNSLOPE
WINDS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS OVER 60 MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  IT WILL BE WINDY ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING SYSTEM...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC GUSTS TO AROUND
55 MPH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP
BELOW 15 PERCENT WHICH WILL RESULT IN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.  POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO SATURDAY MORNING.  A WINDY BUT DRY
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING
COOLER CONDITIONS FOR SUNDAY...BUT LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    15-30 MPH.  GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH POSSIBLE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...
                    THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40F.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
                    POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1800...THEN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1800 THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 6000 FT MSL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR A VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111118.PINEL.01/PUB