FNUS76 KMFR 210655
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCBRIDE...SHASTA TRINITY NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1055 PM PST SUN NOV 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARD THE COAST MONDAY. THIS WILL
CAUSE INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE WIND FORECAST IS TRICKY DUE TO THE ELEVATION OF THE
BURN AREA AND THE EXPECTED CHANNELING WHICH TYPICALLY OCCURS NORTH
OF MOUNT SHASTA CITY. THERE SHOULD BE AT LEAST A FEW HOURS MONDAY
MORNING BEFORE WINDS INCREASE...BUT WINDS COULD BE SUBSTANTIALLY
HIGHER THAN PREDICTED FOR THE AFTERNOON. MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING...BUT WITH INCREASING UPSLOPE FLOW...DO
EXPECT AT LITTLE SNOW TO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE ON AND OFF MONDAY NIGHT WITH A COUPLE OF INCHES POSSIBLE
BY TUESDAY MORNING. ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. PLEASE DO NOT HESITATE TO CALL US IF WINDS ARE NOT
BEHAVING AS REPRESENTED IN THE FORECAST.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........32 AT IGNITION...MAX 37.
HUMIDITY............85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 75.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...PAT TITUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111121.MCBRI.02/MFR