FNUS75 KPUB 212049
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOWLER HAY FIRE...COLORADO DIV OF EMERG MGT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
149 PM MST MON NOV 21 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EVENING
HOURS...KEEPING SOME CLOUDS OVER THE AREA.  THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE GENERALLY LIGHT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  WITH SUCH LIGHT WINDS
IN THE MIXING LAYER...THE SMOKE DISPERSAL TODAY WILL REMAIN POOR.
STRONGER WINDS IN A DEEPER MIXING LAYER ON TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN
GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL IN THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-52F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN NORTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(36 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30F.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1900 THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0900. 7100 FT AGL
                    BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...RILEY FRAZEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111121.FOWLE.01/PUB