FNUS72 KTAE 211416
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
916 AM EST MON NOV 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850) 942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL ONSHORE WINDS WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AREAS
OF FOG WILL BURN OFF THIS MORNING...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF DENSE FOG
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL BE PRECEDED AND ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THIS
FRONT. HOWEVER...CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NOT ANTICIPATED
AT THIS TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........40.


TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     52     46     46     46
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     74     80     81     77
RH..............83     69     58     56     61
20 FT WIND......NE 2   SE 4   S 5    S 5    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     10
TRANSPORT WINDS.ESE 5  SE 8   SE 10  SE 10  SE 8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL BY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........4.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........46     33     40     40     46     65
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............74     68     64     63     62     60
RH..............70     84     91     92     95     99
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 2    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5      5      5
TRANSPORT WINDS.SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   SE 8   SE 8   SE 8

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTY.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION..........35.


TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........65     73     73     73     73     79
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............60     61     67     75     77     78
RH..............97     100    94     77     76     75
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 3   S 5    S 6    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     20     25     20
TRANSPORT WINDS.SE 11  SE 12  SE 13  S 14   S 16   S 17

$$

FORECASTER...JEFFRY EVANS/KEN GOULD
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111121.JACKS.01/TAE