FNUS75 KBOU 221513 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 813 AM MST TUE NOV 22 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...FAIRLY STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...WITH AN UPPER RIDGE TO MOVE IN OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL DRY OUT AND WARM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0800...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG CREEK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/22-07 52 10 2 25 75 SW10 16 2 1 W36 3091 W28 75744 G 11/22-08 47 10 2 27 68 SW12 17 2 1 W36 3125 W29 78180 G 11/22-09 38 10 2 30 61 SW13 20 2 1 W36 3337 W29 83109 G 11/22-10 28 10 2 31 58 SW15 22 2 1 W36 3550 W29 88038 G 11/22-11 23 1 0 33 52 SW16 24 2 1 W36 3763 W29 92967 G 11/22-12 23 1 0 34 49 SW17 25 2 1 W38 4010 W30 104085 V 11/22-13 23 1 0 37 43 SW17 25 2 1 W39 4257 W31 115203 V 11/22-14 23 1 0 36 43 SW17 26 2 1 W41 4504 W32 126321 V 11/22-15 23 1 0 34 49 SW17 26 2 1 W43 3384 W30 92216 G 11/22-16 23 1 0 30 60 SW17 26 2 1 NW45 2265 W26 58110 F 11/22-17 19 0 0 26 73 SW17 26 2 1 NW47 1145 W24 24005 P 11/22-18 19 0 0 27 71 SW16 24 2 1 NW54 949 W23 19220 P 11/22-19 19 0 0 26 70 SW14 22 3 1 NW61 753 W22 14435 P 11/22-20 13 0 0 24 73 W13 20 3 1 NW66 557 W20 9650 P 11/22-21 13 0 0 25 70 SW12 17 3 1 NW63 533 W18 8785 P 11/22-22 13 0 0 26 65 SW10 16 3 1 W59 508 SW17 7920 P 11/22-23 7 0 0 25 67 SW10 16 3 1 W54 484 SW17 7054 P 11/23-00 7 0 0 25 64 SW10 16 3 1 W53 409 SW16 5879 P 11/23-01 7 0 0 25 65 SW12 17 2 1 W53 333 SW16 4704 P 11/23-02 4 0 0 23 69 SW13 20 2 1 W53 258 SW16 3529 P 11/23-03 4 0 0 21 74 SW13 20 2 1 W51 236 SW15 3117 P 11/23-04 4 0 0 23 68 SW13 20 3 1 W49 214 SW15 2704 P 11/23-05 4 0 0 23 67 SW13 20 4 1 W48 192 SW14 2292 P 11/23-06 4 0 0 20 72 SW13 20 4 1 W46 226 SW14 2844 P 11/23-07 4 0 0 23 63 SW14 21 5 1 W45 261 SW15 3396 P 11/23-08 4 0 0 28 51 SW14 21 5 1 W44 295 SW15 3948 P 11/23-09 4 0 0 33 43 SW14 21 5 1 W44 888 SW20 18537 P 11/23-10 4 0 0 35 41 SW13 20 4 1 W45 1481 SW23 33125 P 11/23-11 4 0 0 39 35 SW13 20 4 1 W45 2074 SW26 47714 F 11/23-12 4 0 0 40 33 SW13 20 4 1 W45 2755 SW29 71292 G 11/23-13 4 0 0 46 26 SW14 21 4 1 W45 3435 SW31 94869 G 11/23-14 4 0 0 46 27 SW14 21 4 1 W45 4116 SW33 118447 V 11/23-15 4 0 0 42 31 SW14 21 4 1 W44 2892 SW28 81320 G 11/23-16 4 0 0 37 38 SW13 20 4 1 W44 1668 SW23 44193 F 11/23-17 9 0 0 31 48 SW13 20 4 1 W44 445 SW18 7066 P 11/23-18 9 0 0 32 47 SW13 18 4 1 W43 391 SW17 5980 P 11/23-19 9 0 0 31 47 SW13 18 5 1 W43 337 SW16 4893 P 11/23-20 9 0 0 29 52 SW13 20 5 1 W43 283 SW15 3806 P 11/23-21 9 0 0 29 50 SW13 18 5 1 W44 304 SW16 4298 P 11/23-22 9 0 0 31 46 SW13 18 4 1 W44 325 SW17 4790 P 11/23-23 14 0 0 29 48 SW13 20 4 1 W45 346 SW17 5283 P 11/24-00 14 0 0 30 46 SW13 20 4 1 W46 305 SW17 4572 P 11/24-01 14 0 0 30 47 SW14 20 4 1 W47 263 SW17 3862 P 11/24-02 14 0 0 27 52 SW14 21 4 1 W48 222 SW16 3152 P 11/24-03 14 0 0 24 59 SW15 22 4 1 W48 226 SW17 3337 P 11/24-04 14 0 0 27 54 SW15 23 4 1 W49 230 SW17 3522 P 11/24-05 20 1 0 27 55 SW16 24 4 1 W51 234 SW18 3707 P 11/24-06 20 1 0 23 64 SW16 25 4 1 SW52 264 SW20 4489 P 11/24-07 20 1 0 25 61 SW17 25 4 1 SW52 294 SW21 5271 P 11/24-08 20 1 0 28 53 SW17 26 4 1 SW53 325 SW22 6053 P 11/24-09 20 1 0 32 46 SW17 26 4 1 SW54 765 SW25 20204 P 11/24-10 20 1 0 33 43 SW17 25 4 1 SW55 1205 SW30 34356 P 11/24-11 42 2 0 36 39 SW17 26 4 1 SW56 1645 SW33 48508 F 11/24-12 42 2 0 37 39 SW17 26 4 1 SW58 2367 SW36 74523 G 11/24-13 42 2 0 41 34 SW18 28 4 1 SW58 3089 SW37 100539 V 11/24-14 42 2 0 41 36 SW18 28 4 1 SW58 3811 W38 126555 V 11/24-15 42 2 0 38 42 SW18 28 4 1 SW58 2765 SW35 89465 G 11/24-16 42 2 0 34 50 SW17 26 5 1 SW58 1719 SW30 52375 F 11/24-17 49 6 1 30 61 SW17 26 5 1 SW56 673 SW26 15285 P 11/24-18 49 6 1 30 60 SW17 25 5 1 SW55 596 SW24 12928 P 11/24-19 49 6 1 30 61 SW16 25 5 1 W54 519 SW23 10570 P 11/24-20 49 6 1 28 65 SW16 24 5 1 W52 442 SW22 8212 P 11/24-21 49 6 1 28 63 SW16 24 5 1 W49 519 SW22 10243 P 11/24-22 49 6 1 30 58 SW15 23 4 1 W47 595 SW23 12274 P 11/24-23 58 13 3 29 60 SW15 23 4 1 W46 671 SW24 14305 P 11/25-00 58 13 3 29 58 SW14 21 4 1 W45 615 SW23 12484 P 11/25-01 58 13 3 29 59 SW14 20 4 1 SW45 559 SW22 10662 P 11/25-02 58 13 3 27 64 SW13 20 4 1 SW45 503 SW21 8840 P 11/25-03 58 13 3 25 70 SW13 18 4 1 SW45 580 SW21 10353 P 11/25-04 58 13 3 27 66 SW13 18 4 1 SW45 657 SW21 11866 P 11/25-05 63 34 13 27 66 SW13 20 4 1 W45 733 SW21 13379 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111122.BIGCR.01/BOU