FNUS76 KMFR 221409
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCBRIDE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
609 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1640 PST ON NOVEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG FRONT WILL STALL ALONG THE COAST TODAY.
UPSLOPE FLOW IS RESULTING IN SNOW LEVELS RIGHT AROUND 4500 FEET
THIS MORNING. THESE WILL VARY VERY LITTLE TODAY BUT MAY RISE TO
NEAR THE BURN ELEVATION THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW THIS MORNING WILL
TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND FORECAST IS TRICKY DUE TO THE
ELEVATION OF THE BURN AREA AND THE EXPECTED CHANNELING WHICH
TYPICALLY OCCURS NORTH OF MOUNT SHASTA CITY IN SOUTH WIND EVENTS.
WIND GUSTS MAY BE SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER THAN PREDICTED. THE FRONT
WILL MOVE INLAND WEDNESDAY BUT ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO IMPACT THE AREA THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW...TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. STORM
                    TOTAL AROUND 6 INCHES.
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 37.
HUMIDITY............95 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 85.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    OF 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK TITUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111122.MCBRI.01/MFR