FNUS73 KUNR 281720
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDNANSKY RX...ROSEBUD AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1020 AM MST MON NOV 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION. WITH THE CLOUD COVER
INCREASING AND COOLER AIR MOVING IN...STEADY TO FALLING TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AROUND SUNSET. QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 22.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 27 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 6
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...JS
REQUESTED BY...BERT SHIELDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111128.MEDNA.01/UNR