FNUS75 KBOU 291653 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 953 AM MST TUE NOV 29 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE REGION WILL BRING SUNNY SKIES AND MILD CONDITIONS TODAY. THE STABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE AND LIGHT WINDS WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSION POOR TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND A GOOD CHANCE FOR SNOW. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41. MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-16. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41. MIN HUMIDITY........28-34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG CREEK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/29-09 9 0 0 29 54 SW 6 6 4 1 N36 1263 SW 8 11549 P 11/29-10 9 0 0 34 48 SW 6 6 4 1 N37 2263 W 9 21674 P 11/29-11 6 0 0 36 45 SW 7 7 4 1 N37 3262 W12 31799 P 11/29-12 6 0 0 37 45 SW 7 7 4 1 N37 3272 W12 32874 P 11/29-13 6 0 0 38 43 W 8 13 4 1 NW36 3282 W12 33949 P 11/29-14 6 0 0 38 44 W 8 13 4 1 NW36 3292 W13 35025 P 11/29-15 6 0 0 35 47 SW 8 14 4 1 NW35 2329 W12 24415 P 11/29-16 6 0 0 31 56 SW 9 14 5 1 NW33 1366 SW10 13806 P 11/29-17 42 0 0 25 67 SW 9 14 5 1 NW33 402 SW 9 3196 P 11/29-18 42 0 0 25 65 SW 9 15 5 1 NW35 360 SW 9 2929 P 11/29-19 42 0 0 24 64 SW 9 15 5 1 NW37 317 SW 9 2662 P 11/29-20 46 0 0 23 64 SW10 16 5 1 NW39 275 SW10 2395 P 11/29-21 46 0 0 21 65 SW10 17 5 1 NW41 261 SW10 2393 P 11/29-22 46 0 0 22 62 SW12 18 4 1 NW43 247 SW12 2391 P 11/29-23 31 0 0 21 63 SW13 20 4 1 NW45 233 SW12 2390 P 11/30-00 31 0 0 20 67 SW14 21 4 1 W46 207 SW13 2266 P 11/30-01 31 0 0 18 75 SW15 23 3 1 W47 182 SW14 2142 P 11/30-02 29 0 0 18 77 SW16 25 3 1 W48 156 SW15 2018 P 11/30-03 29 0 0 16 83 SW18 30 3 1 W49 151 SW16 2166 P 11/30-04 29 0 0 17 77 SW21 33 4 1 W51 147 SW18 2314 P 11/30-05 27 0 0 16 78 SW22 35 4 1 W53 142 SW20 2462 P 11/30-06 27 0 0 14 84 SW22 35 4 1 W54 203 SW18 3202 P 11/30-07 27 0 0 16 78 SW20 31 3 1 W56 265 SW17 3941 P 11/30-08 27 0 0 24 53 SW17 28 3 1 W58 326 SW16 4681 P 11/30-09 27 0 0 31 40 SW17 26 2 1 W64 1798 SW30 60277 G 11/30-10 27 0 0 36 33 SW18 26 2 1 W66 3140 W36 110773 V 11/30-11 76 0 0 37 32 SW18 28 2 1 W68 4483 W41 161269 E 11/30-12 76 0 0 37 32 SW18 28 2 1 W71 5027 W40 175419 E 11/30-13 76 0 0 39 30 W17 26 2 1 W75 5571 W39 189569 E 11/30-14 76 10 2 38 32 W16 24 2 1 W76 6115 W38 203718 E 11/30-15 76 10 2 36 36 W14 21 2 1 W74 5081 W31 151129 E 11/30-16 76 10 2 30 47 NW12 18 2 1 SW68 4047 W24 98539 G 11/30-17 91 60 38 23 63 NW10 16 2 1 SW61 3013 NW17 45949 F 11/30-18 91 60 38 24 65 NW10 15 2 1 SW54 3602 NW17 53123 F 11/30-19 91 60 38 24 67 NW10 16 2 1 SW46 4191 NW16 60298 G 11/30-20 91 60 38 24 69 N12 17 2 1 SW38 4779 NW16 67472 G 11/30-21 91 60 38 24 72 N12 17 2 1 SW32 4721 NW16 66400 G 11/30-22 91 60 38 23 74 N12 17 3 1 SW29 4663 N16 65328 G 11/30-23 97 71 54 22 76 N12 17 3 1 SW25 4606 N16 64256 G 12/01-00 97 71 54 21 76 N13 18 3 1 SW24 4279 N20 69108 G 12/01-01 97 71 54 20 76 N14 21 3 1 S24 3953 N22 73959 G 12/01-02 97 71 54 18 76 N15 23 3 1 S23 3627 N25 78811 G 12/01-03 97 71 54 16 77 N16 24 3 1 S20 3383 N29 82097 G 12/01-04 97 71 54 14 78 N17 25 2 1 SE15 3138 N32 85383 G 12/01-05 91 56 32 12 82 N17 26 2 1 E12 2893 N36 88669 G 12/01-06 91 56 32 10 91 N16 25 2 1 E10 2886 N36 90020 G 12/01-07 91 56 32 10 91 N15 23 2 1 E12 2879 NE37 91370 G 12/01-08 91 56 32 11 90 N14 21 2 1 E14 2872 NE37 92721 G 12/01-09 91 56 32 14 81 NE13 18 2 1 E15 3360 NE37 106650 V 12/01-10 91 56 32 16 76 NE12 17 2 1 E16 3849 NE36 120578 V 12/01-11 94 46 23 17 73 NE10 16 2 1 E17 4338 NE36 134507 V 12/01-12 94 46 23 17 71 NE10 15 2 1 E16 4352 NE33 126505 V 12/01-13 94 46 23 18 66 NE10 15 2 1 E15 4367 NE31 118504 V 12/01-14 94 46 23 17 64 NE10 16 2 1 NE14 4382 NE29 110502 V 12/01-15 94 46 23 14 70 NE10 16 2 1 NE14 3869 NE28 93511 G 12/01-16 94 46 23 11 75 N10 16 3 1 NE14 3357 NE25 76520 G 12/01-17 57 10 2 8 82 N10 16 3 1 NE15 2844 NE24 59529 F 12/01-18 57 10 2 8 80 NE10 15 3 1 NE15 2737 NE23 55107 F 12/01-19 57 10 2 7 80 NE 9 15 3 1 N16 2630 NE22 50684 F 12/01-20 57 10 2 6 82 E 9 14 3 1 N18 2522 NE21 46262 F 12/01-21 57 10 2 5 84 E 9 9 3 1 N22 2400 NE20 40339 F 12/01-22 57 10 2 6 79 E 8 8 2 1 NE28 2278 E17 34415 P 12/01-23 26 6 1 5 78 SE 8 8 2 1 NE35 2156 E15 28491 P 12/02-00 26 6 1 5 74 SE 7 7 2 1 NE44 1753 E12 20334 P 12/02-01 26 6 1 4 73 S 7 7 3 1 NE53 1349 E 8 12176 P 12/02-02 26 6 1 2 76 S 6 6 3 1 NE59 945 E 5 4019 P 12/02-03 26 6 1 1 73 S 5 5 3 1 NE59 767 SE 5 3014 P 12/02-04 26 6 1 2 69 S 5 5 3 1 NE56 589 SW 3 2009 P 12/02-05 14 2 0 1 72 SW 5 5 3 1 NE53 411 W 2 1004 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111129.BIGCR.01/BOU